I am a Bayesian statistics and time series researcher with hands-on experience building hierarchical time-varying parameter models with shrinkage priors and implementing scalable variational inference methods. I have a strong background in MCMC, stochastic gradients, and simulation-based evaluation, with applied forecasting experience on macroeconomic datasets. I am currently pursuing a Master of Statistics at ANU and have collaborated on research projects ranging from TVP estimation to priors and variable selection. I enjoy translating complex models into practical forecasting tools and look forward to advancing Bayesian methods for scalable inference in real-world data.

YUEKUN MA

I am a Bayesian statistics and time series researcher with hands-on experience building hierarchical time-varying parameter models with shrinkage priors and implementing scalable variational inference methods. I have a strong background in MCMC, stochastic gradients, and simulation-based evaluation, with applied forecasting experience on macroeconomic datasets. I am currently pursuing a Master of Statistics at ANU and have collaborated on research projects ranging from TVP estimation to priors and variable selection. I enjoy translating complex models into practical forecasting tools and look forward to advancing Bayesian methods for scalable inference in real-world data.

Available to hire

I am a Bayesian statistics and time series researcher with hands-on experience building hierarchical time-varying parameter models with shrinkage priors and implementing scalable variational inference methods. I have a strong background in MCMC, stochastic gradients, and simulation-based evaluation, with applied forecasting experience on macroeconomic datasets.

I am currently pursuing a Master of Statistics at ANU and have collaborated on research projects ranging from TVP estimation to priors and variable selection. I enjoy translating complex models into practical forecasting tools and look forward to advancing Bayesian methods for scalable inference in real-world data.

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Language

English
Fluent

Work Experience

Researcher (Research Assistant) at Australian National University (ANU)
May 1, 2025 - December 1, 2025
Reviewed Bayesian Lasso and horseshoe shrinkage priors; compared computational implications (e.g., half-Cauchy hierarchy vs. conjugacy) and summarized MCMC strategies (hybrid Gibbs with MH vs. pure Gibbs via auxiliary-variable representations) to support stable inference in high dimensions. Investigated grouped and adaptive/group-structured horseshoe priors to incorporate structured sparsity for TVP models; formulated a grouped-shrinkage approach to improve interpretability under many coefficients. Implemented TVP estimation by extending the Bitto & Fröhwirth-Schnatter (2019) scheme to support horseshoe, grouped horseshoe, and adaptive grouped horseshoe priors in a unified workflow; developed a Bayesian variable-selection procedure that selects covariates over the full time horizon. Ran simulation studies to benchmark priors and selection behavior; applied the method to ECB euro-area inflation data (Feb 1994–Nov 2010, T=190) with 37 potentially time-varying coefficients.
Research Assistant at University of Melbourne (UniMelb)
December 1, 2025 - Present
Supported a project extending doubly stochastic variational inference (DSVI) from the Gaussian variational family to skew-symmetric distributions; formalized the ELBO objective and reparameterized latent-variable representations to enable scalable stochastic-gradient optimization with Monte Carlo estimators. Derived and documented gradient estimators for key variational parameters and investigated computational strategies for correlated posteriors, including precision-matrix parameterization and variance-reduced estimators to improve numerical stability in non-Gaussian settings.

Education

Master of Statistics at Australian National University (ANU)
January 11, 2030 - December 1, 2025
Bachelor of Management (Accounting) at Anhui University of Finance and Economics (AUFE)
January 11, 2030 - June 1, 2023

Qualifications

Add your qualifications or awards here.

Industry Experience

Software & Internet, Education, Professional Services, Financial Services