Hi there — I’m Francisco Luís de Avelar Cardoso I'm a Lisbon-based data scientist and machine learning practitioner specializing in time-series forecasting, quantitative modeling, and end-to-end ML systems. I have over two years of hands-on experience building and deploying predictive models across cryptocurrency markets and quantitative trading, with a strong focus on turning theoretically sound models into practical, production-ready solutions. My work spans classical econometrics and modern deep learning, including ARIMA-family models, LSTMs, quantile regression, and hybrid forecasting frameworks implemented in PyTorch, TensorFlow, and Statsmodels. In industry, I’ve designed production LSTM models for multi-asset price forecasting, automated large-scale financial reporting pipelines that reduced manual reconciliation by over 90%, and built ML systems that integrate model training, evaluation, explainability, and deployment. I also developed novel forecasting evaluation metrics (FIS/CER) aimed at measuring financial usefulness rather than pure statistical accuracy, achieving significant improvements in risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional error metrics. My academic background includes an MSc in Mathematics-Economics (ML track) and a Post-Graduate Program in AI & Machine Learning, with deep exposure to numerical methods, stochastic processes, optimization, and statistical learning. I’m particularly interested in roles that sit at the intersection of forecasting, decision-making, and real-world impact, where modeling rigor and engineering discipline matter equally.

Francisco Luis de Avelar Cardoso

Hi there — I’m Francisco Luís de Avelar Cardoso I'm a Lisbon-based data scientist and machine learning practitioner specializing in time-series forecasting, quantitative modeling, and end-to-end ML systems. I have over two years of hands-on experience building and deploying predictive models across cryptocurrency markets and quantitative trading, with a strong focus on turning theoretically sound models into practical, production-ready solutions. My work spans classical econometrics and modern deep learning, including ARIMA-family models, LSTMs, quantile regression, and hybrid forecasting frameworks implemented in PyTorch, TensorFlow, and Statsmodels. In industry, I’ve designed production LSTM models for multi-asset price forecasting, automated large-scale financial reporting pipelines that reduced manual reconciliation by over 90%, and built ML systems that integrate model training, evaluation, explainability, and deployment. I also developed novel forecasting evaluation metrics (FIS/CER) aimed at measuring financial usefulness rather than pure statistical accuracy, achieving significant improvements in risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional error metrics. My academic background includes an MSc in Mathematics-Economics (ML track) and a Post-Graduate Program in AI & Machine Learning, with deep exposure to numerical methods, stochastic processes, optimization, and statistical learning. I’m particularly interested in roles that sit at the intersection of forecasting, decision-making, and real-world impact, where modeling rigor and engineering discipline matter equally.

Available to hire

Hi there — I’m Francisco Luís de Avelar Cardoso

I’m a Lisbon-based data scientist and machine learning practitioner specializing in time-series forecasting, quantitative modeling, and end-to-end ML systems.

I have over two years of hands-on experience building and deploying predictive models across cryptocurrency markets and quantitative trading, with a strong focus on turning theoretically sound models into practical, production-ready solutions. My work spans classical econometrics and modern deep learning, including ARIMA-family models, LSTMs, quantile regression, and hybrid forecasting frameworks implemented in PyTorch, TensorFlow, and Statsmodels.

In industry, I’ve designed production LSTM models for multi-asset price forecasting, automated large-scale financial reporting pipelines that reduced manual reconciliation by over 90%, and built ML systems that integrate model training, evaluation, explainability, and deployment. I also developed novel forecasting evaluation metrics (FIS/CER) aimed at measuring financial usefulness rather than pure statistical accuracy, achieving significant improvements in risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional error metrics.

My academic background includes an MSc in Mathematics-Economics (ML track) and a Post-Graduate Program in AI & Machine Learning, with deep exposure to numerical methods, stochastic processes, optimization, and statistical learning. I’m particularly interested in roles that sit at the intersection of forecasting, decision-making, and real-world impact, where modeling rigor and engineering discipline matter equally.

See more

Experience Level

Expert
Expert
Expert
Expert
Intermediate

Work Experience

Data Scientist at Coinify A/S
January 4, 2024 - October 31, 2025
Automated financial reporting pipeline using Python and SQL, reducing manual reconciliation time by ~90%. Built production-grade LSTM models for multi-asset price forecasting (Bitcoin/Ethereum) and implemented a sentiment-analysis pipeline using RoBERTa; integrated structural break detection (Ruptures) to improve forecasting under volatile market conditions.
Junior Actuarial Analyst at Mercer Ltd
September 1, 2022 - June 1, 2023
Performed financial modeling, data cleaning, and Excel VBA automation for actuarial calculations and client reporting.
Numerical Analysis Researcher at University of Évora
January 1, 2022 - July 1, 2022
Created PyTorch scripts with NumPy to benchmark algorithm performance for solving differential equations and explored numerical optimization techniques to improve runtime and accuracy of mathematical models.

Education

Post Graduate Program in Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning at University of Texas at Austin
March 1, 2025 - November 1, 2025
MSc in Mathematics-Economics (ML track) at University of Copenhagen
September 1, 2023 - September 1, 2025
BSc in Applied Mathematics for Economics & Management at University of Évora
September 1, 2018 - June 1, 2022

Qualifications

Add your qualifications or awards here.

Industry Experience

Software & Internet, Financial Services, Professional Services, Computers & Electronics
    paper ChurnGuard — End-to-End Customer Churn & LTV Prediction Platform

    ChurnGuard is a production-grade machine learning system for customer churn prediction, lifetime value estimation, and behavioral segmentation.

    The platform includes:

    Feature engineering pipelines for mixed tabular and temporal data

    Gradient-boosted and deep learning models with Optuna tuning

    Model tracking and versioning via MLflow

    A FastAPI backend and Streamlit frontend

    Containerized deployment (Docker) with cloud-ready architecture

    Designed to demonstrate how ML models move from notebooks to real products, with emphasis on reproducibility, interpretability, and business impact.

    https://www.twine.net/signin

    paper Clinical Trial RAG Assistant — Retrieval-Augmented Summarization of Medical Studies

    A Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) system for querying and summarizing real-world clinical trials in clear, patient-friendly language.

    This project ingests data from ClinicalTrials.gov and combines:

    Semantic retrieval using SentenceTransformers and ChromaDB

    Local open-source LLMs (Gemma / Phi) for grounded text generation

    A lightweight Gradio web interface for interactive exploration

    Users can ask natural-language questions (e.g. “diabetes trials in Europe”) and receive concise summaries synthesized from multiple relevant studies, with filters for conditions and adjustable retrieval depth.

    Designed as an applied NLP + healthcare ML system, emphasizing:

    End-to-end data pipelines (API ingestion → parsing → embeddings → inference)

    Practical RAG architecture

    Responsible AI usage in medical contexts

    paper VIX Direction Prediction with LSTM-Based Deep Learning

    A full deep learning pipeline for predicting the daily directional movement of the VIX volatility index.

    The system uses:

    Engineered features from SPY, QQQ, and VIX

    A PyTorch LSTM backbone with an MLP classifier head

    Rolling-window time series cross-validation to avoid leakage

    Includes an interactive Streamlit dashboard for model diagnostics, fold-level analysis, and configuration comparison, showcasing realistic validation practices in financial ML.

    https://www.twine.net/signin

    paper Skin Cancer Classification with Deep Learning

    An applied computer vision and multimodal learning project for automated skin lesion classification.

    This project compares:

    A CV-only ResNet50 model trained on dermatoscopic images

    A multimodal model combining images with clinical metadata (age, sex, localization)

    Includes a Streamlit dashboard for EDA, model comparison, confusion matrices, per-class F1 scores, and live predictions, highlighting the practical trade-offs between visual and tabular information in medical AI.

    https://www.twine.net/signin

    paper Quant LSTM Intelligence Suite — Forecasting, Sentiment & Regime Detection

    An end-to-end quantitative finance dashboard combining deep learning, econometrics, and NLP.

    This Streamlit application integrates:

    LSTM + quantile regression for multi-asset price forecasting

    RoBERTa-based sentiment analysis to track market psychology

    Regime change detection using structural break analysis

    Built to demonstrate how modern ML models can be validated, interpreted, and used in real-world trading and risk management workflows, with interactive visualizations and multi-asset support (crypto, FX, equities).

    https://www.twine.net/signin